Dorinthea at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Dorinthea

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Filipe Coutinho

22nd • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mauro Lorenzo (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Javier Díez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Manuel Fernández Tato

44th • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Ximun LASTIRI (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Cristian Codes (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Baalghor, Omen of the End) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs David De Sousa (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Prism	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Baalghor, Omen of the End	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Benjamin Atkinson

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Unai Sesma (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Dorinthea) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs David De Sousa (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bruno Cracco

dropped • 2-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Scott "HowlingMines" Mines (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs David De Sousa (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.