Enigma at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Enigma

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jean Luka Zorko

14th • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mauro Lorenzo (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Ximun LASTIRI (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Bill Early (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Victor Lima (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dash	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Florian	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

David De Sousa

32nd • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Unai Sesma (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Bruno Cracco (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs David Calf (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Manuel Fernández Tato (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

simon diaz

35th • 3-3-1

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Eric Garcia (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs Hernán Cortez (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jotrick Rheaume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Alejandro Gurrea (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.