Ira, Crimson Haze at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alessio Bouko

5th • 6-1-1

75%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.9

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Mikel Lopez (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Draw vs Francesco Giorgio (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Andrea Malpassi

12th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs David Calf (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Baalghor, Omen of the End) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Simone Sieli (Levia) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jorge Cerdá (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jotrick Rheaume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Baalghor, Omen of the End	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Carlos fernandez baillo

15th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Jonas Stoberock (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Roberto Andreocci (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jorge Cerdá (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Vynnset	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Javier Díez

25th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Rafael Durán (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Dayvid Kayal (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Filipe Coutinho (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Geoffroy Massard

26th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.9

Diff

35:65

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Simone Sieli (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jorge Huaroc Correa (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Thomas Gaumard (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Nathan Hills (Levia) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Roberto Andreocci

28th • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

35:65

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Nathan Hills (Levia) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Carlos fernandez baillo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.45
R3	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jotrick Rheaume

33rd • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Carrara (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Andrei Sebastian Suciu (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Mário Abrantes (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs simon diaz (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Josu Losañez (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

David Alfonso

43rd • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Carlos fernandez baillo (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Unai Sesma (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Morgado Morata (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Manuel Fernández Tato (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Jaime Leon (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Mikel Lopez (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Andrei Sebastian Suciu

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Francisco Leiva Espanhol (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Jotrick Rheaume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Filipe Coutinho (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

35:65

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Thomas Gaumard

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Edward Catling (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Marcos Vassão (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Geoffroy Massard (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

35:65

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Hills (Levia) - Expected: 33:67

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luca Barcella (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.