Riptide at Sunday Showdown: Bilbao 2026

Riptide

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gustavo Cilleruelo

3rd • 6-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Bartosz Dobrowolski (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Atkinson (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Victor Sanchez (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Lucas Saillour (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs David Calf (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Malpassi (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jaime Leon

23rd • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Carr (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Oscar Gonzalez Muñoz (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jesus Rafael Matheus (Baalghor, Omen of the End) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Eric Garcia (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs David Alfonso (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Josu Losañez (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Loss vs Hernán Cortez (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Baalghor, Omen of the End	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Josu Losañez

29th • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Carlos Gutiérrez González (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Sergio Ruiz Márquez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Warre Sevens (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Pablo Fernández-Baldor (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jaime Leon (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Jotrick Rheaume (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Victor Sanchez

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Warre Sevens (Viserai, Between Worlds) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Kilian Schellekens (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Gustavo Cilleruelo (Riptide) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Cracco (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Luca Barcella (Scurv, Stowaway) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Viserai, Between Worlds	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Scurv, Stowaway	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.