National Championship 2026 - Ireland - Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty (CC)

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Dylan Thompson

3rd • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

3.2

Surp

3.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dimitri Dimov (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Walsh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

95:5

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Curran (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 96:4

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tony Gleeson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.09
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	95%	Win	✓	0.04	0.03
R8	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.78
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.86
R11	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Jack Canty

dropped • 3-1-0

75%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Moore (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60

95:5

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tadhg Conaty (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 96:4

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	95%	Win	✓	0.04	0.03
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.57
R4	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.31

Jack Walsh

dropped • 3-1-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Russell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugenio Assenzi (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jamie McCabe (Dash I/O) - Expected: 81:19

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.31

David Russell

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jack Walsh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jaye philpott (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stephen McKeever (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs seoirse byrne (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.57
R4	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Pádraig Ní Rúis

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.5

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Holland (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam West (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jaye philpott (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.52
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.