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1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Conaty (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Dee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Blake Jensen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dylan Thompson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Carl Boyle (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lucas Ward (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.