Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Sheelan (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Walsh (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 3: Loss vs Evan McTernan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Murray (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Blake Jensen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jaye philpott (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.