Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Calling: Phuket 2024

Azalea, Ace in the Hole

14 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Brodie Spurlock

1st • 12-2-0

79%

Meta

+4.9

Perf

6.6

Surp

6.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Xiaonan Zou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daryl Sham (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ivan Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Fee Sen Sei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Pei-Tung Liao (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

55:45

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Pudding Tam (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

79% (11/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.06
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.19
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.34
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.56
R12	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.08
R13	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Win	✗	0.68	1.54
R14	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

Khoi Dinh

13th • 8-3-0

55%

Meta

+2.9

Perf

5.6

Surp

5.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Tham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs See Atlantis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Fee Sen Sei (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.6 total deviation

Difficulty

5.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.10
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.21
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.39
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.55
R8	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R9	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.81
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.94

Jian Wei Tee

18th • 7-4-0

64%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

4.6

Surp

2.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ivan Teo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs shirui wu (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Peter Ward (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs CYK Lionel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Aloysius Goh (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

64% (7/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.16
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.32
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.32
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.47
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.57
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R9	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R11	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Fee Sen Sei

20th • 7-4-0

55%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gian Arnandi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs CHENG WANG (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Khoi Dinh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Lu Wei Soh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Kaiser Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs C WK (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.11
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.17
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.19
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.42
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.52
R9	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.01
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

ChingHeng Lin

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Eric Leong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.41
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.74
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jamal Armand

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Allen Lau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs FUNG CC (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.11
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Justin Cu

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wiroon Juesathainrat (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jun Yet Wong (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.21
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Lane Thomason

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Mearns (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Justian Frederick (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs yi chuan lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.77
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Liang Hsi Ho

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Melvin Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jin Han Toh (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.31
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Teddy Tai

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Handy Wijaya (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Tham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs C WK (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lu Wei Soh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mortal Absolute (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.28
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.20
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.66
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Vincent Yuen

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henry Fan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Vui Khen Liew (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Lau (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.10
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.53
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.87

Quah Hee Aun

dropped • 2-5-0

29%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ricky Lianto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christian Agupitan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs kantanat poom chukiat (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.71
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Isaac Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Soh zheng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Voon Fei Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Odi Winata

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jun Jek Wong (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 54:46

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.22
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.