Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Phuket 2024

Katsu, the Wanderer

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Pudding Tam

2nd • 11-2-1

57%

Meta

+4.2

Perf

7.0

Surp

6.4

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Natanael Avellino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Mearns (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Yang-Chia Chang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cliff Wong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Soh zheng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs C WK (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ray lam (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Derk Hua Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R14 CC

Round 14: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

57% (8/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 11 actual)

Surprise

7.0 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Draw	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.20
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.36
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.62
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.26
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.67
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.96
R12	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R13	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.87
R14	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-

Ivan Teo

28th • 7-4-0

45%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.8

Surp

3.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Si-Jie Gao (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cliff Wong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Shing Tsang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jason Chua (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kuan Li (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Ooi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Daryl Sham (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.17
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.71
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.42
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.67
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.41
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R11	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.71

Dyatmika Paramaanindya

33rd • 7-4-0

82%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Deitrich Mohan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Long Dao (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tay Yong Chain (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Khoi Dinh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.17
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.17
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.35
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.41
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.52
R10	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Prempracha Saensupar

36th • 6-5-0

45%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

5.0

Surp

2.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Takenori Arakawa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nova Chan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs ChingHeng Lin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Daryl Sham (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jian Wei Tee (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs C WK (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs CHENG WANG (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Malcolm Song (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Dyatmika Paramaanindya (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

45% (5/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	0.18
R2	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.23
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.13
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.51
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.39
R7	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R9	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.52
R10	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jun Jek Wong

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Nguyễn (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Odi Winata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mark Tay (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tay Yong Chain (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.09
R2	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.48
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.06
R7	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.64

yi chuan lai

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Po Yu Lin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Soh zheng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eugene Neo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Wai Hong Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Lane Thomason (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.17
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.12
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R7	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.28

WEI JIE CHAI

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs yuki ideue (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs David Tham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

75:25

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Voon Fei Lim (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.70
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Ervin Lam

dropped • 0-4-0

75%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs RICARDO DIAZ (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Takenori Arakawa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Youngblut (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R4	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Kelvin Law

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Allen Lau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kai Young Tan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Shawn Rayson

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wai Hong Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hao Yang Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Melvin Lim (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.