Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Phuket 2024
Fai, Rising Rebellion
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yu Heng Chew (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Peh (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wai Hong Tang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takenori Arakawa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nattapon Phanthanithilerd (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wei Jian Gan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roderick So (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Terukazu Goshima (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Teo (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Galaxy Yang (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kelvin Tan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kingman Leung (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Takenori Arakawa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs George Chew (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Odi Winata (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darrell Yeo (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Seb Kho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip Lun Kee Chia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kenneth Kong (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Chee Shi Feng (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Round 3: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Armand Miguel Medina (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Yuen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joon Chien Tan (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marcus Shum (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wong Jun jian (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Haziq Ghazale (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.