Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Phuket 2024

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Lau

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Tang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.68
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.63

Seb Kho

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip Lun Kee Chia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

ChangSheng Sze Tho

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.22
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Keith Yong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Timothy Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Yu Heng Chew

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.80

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.