Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Phuket 2024

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jose Lau

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Xie Hang Yeo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs (IG) Davin (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Areena Jasmine Yazid (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs kouji hamada (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Colin Tang (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.60
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Seb Kho

dropped • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs (IG) Yehan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Philip Lun Kee Chia (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Denny Koh (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ho Wei jie. (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.24
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R4	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.85
R5	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

ChangSheng Sze Tho

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Rati Chiewlian (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hilmi Halim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Eric Cheong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Samyudia (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 42:58

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dusk Low (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Keith Yong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.67
R5	CC	Dromai, Ash Artist	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Timothy Teo

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.3

Surp

0.5

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs York kwok (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Clinton Ng (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

15:85

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.48
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Yu Heng Chew

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mortal Absolute (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Chu (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.