Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Phuket 2024
Kassai of the Golden Sand
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hermann Yeo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liang Hsi Ho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
Round 4: Win vs Tay Yong Chain (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Derk Hua Lee (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 6: Win vs Connor Leverton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oh Oh (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robbert Valkeneers (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gian Arnandi (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Lo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phumin kidlertlam (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs yuki ideue (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abbey Fong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phumin kidlertlam (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kho Fong Tong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ChangSheng Sze Tho (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leonard Foo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cesar Yrick Sevilla (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Julio Anthony (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Haziq Ghazale (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cu (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Allen Lau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Martin Widjaja (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Draw |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs yi chuan lai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Jarren Goh (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keith Yong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.