Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty at National Championship

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Tsubasa Ueda

18th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.2

Surp

2.4

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Connie Barnett (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 61:39

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs May Atlas (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jakob Allan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 19:81

75:25

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Lloyd McBride (Dash I/O) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.23
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.35
R10	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.35	1.05
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R12	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.78

Ben Quantrell

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.6

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ulises Emiliano Frias Torres (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Brian Fowler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.59

Mat Himmelman

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Fred God (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aiden Dee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.