World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Germany (National Festival Germany 2025: Blitz) - Arakni, Solitary Confinement (Blitz)

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Juan Victor Echeverria

1st • 9-0-0

100%

Meta

+3.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

4.0

Diff

Deck

60:40

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Göppert (Aurora) - Expected: 60:40

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Finn Labe (Professor Teklovossen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Aurora) - Expected: 60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jan Höckendorff (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Robin Scornia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Thien Nguyen (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Felix Buchs (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Macorano (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

70:30

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Aurora	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.08
R2	Blitz	Professor Teklovossen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Aurora	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.25
R4	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.56
R6	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.39
R8	Blitz	Terra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.50

Robin Scornia

5th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Phil Kohnen (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Phil Kohnen (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.50
R3	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.22
R4	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.29
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-

Markus Tusche

12th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Brennen Davis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs nino Zimmermann (Arakni, Web of Deceit) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

70:30

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Max Löhe (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

70:30

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Felix Buchs (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jan Höckendorff (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Arakni, Web of Deceit	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.25
R4	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.71	-
R6	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philip Holtappel

32nd • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance) - Expected: 55:45

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Marc Bluhm (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Tobias Göppert (Aurora) - Expected: 60:40

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Viet Pham (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Florian Mai (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Alexej Vollmer (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.15
R2	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Aurora	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.37
R4	Blitz	Blaze, Firemind	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.