World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Germany (National Festival Germany 2025: Blitz) - Kayo, Berserker Runt (Blitz)

Kayo, Berserker Runt

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Stefan Hofmüller

21st • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Thien Nguyen (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Aaron Rose (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Sevan Karagoezoglu (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Jacqueline Holthausen (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tobias Hartfiel

36th • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Robin Scornia (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Dennis Canaki (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Plaschnick (Oscilio) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Tobias Göppert (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Bertram (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Oscilio	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jannik Bücher

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Florian Mai (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.