World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Germany (National Festival Germany 2025: Blitz) - Verdance (Blitz)

Verdance

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kevin Bertram

35th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Philip Holtappel (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Bültel (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

30:70

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Philippos Koulousakis (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Tobias Hartfiel (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Marc Bluhm (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Christoph Munzig

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Finn Labe (Professor Teklovossen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Brennen Davis (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Max Löhe (Prism, Advent of Thrones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Professor Teklovossen	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Valda Brightaxe	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Prism, Advent of Thrones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jakob Immer

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Macorano (Terra) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Richter (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Terra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.