World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Germany (National Festival Germany 2025: Blitz) - Terra (Blitz)

Terra

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Lucas Macorano

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Teunnissen (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Jakob Immer (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Sossenheimer (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Nils Herrmann (Zen) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Frederic Fuessmann (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Juan Victor Echeverria (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Zen	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Florian Mai

19th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jan Hendrik Wewering (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Philip Holtappel (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo, Berserker Runt	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Philipp Steinfort

27th • 3-1-2

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Roger Braun (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Güntekin Koc (Puffin) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Draw vs Felix Hoenighausen (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs Marc Bluhm (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Frank Pilchowski (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Philippos Koulousakis (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Puffin	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.