Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

5th 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Frochaux (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lukas Horber (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Mévillot (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Samuel Mudry (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lancelot Errico (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
Dash I/O
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
28th 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.6
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tigran Grigorian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Philip (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Schwarz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Dorinthea Ironsong
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrei Meshkov-Pervikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Henri Laigo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
25th 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oliver Gehrig (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas G Jud (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Xavier Mudry (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Theo Montero Ciscar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.