FaB-Results

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship 2025 - Switzerland

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Xavier Mudry
26th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
Deck
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tigran Grigorian (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Spicher (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrei Meshkov-Pervikov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Patrick Paitz (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Niels Rohrer
dropped • 2-1-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Deck
Dash I/O
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lars Seebacher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Fai, Rising Rebellion
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Henrik Thomsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nico Grieco (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.