Vynnset, Iron Maiden at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.93
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Nuttapon Songkhakul

16th • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Wipu Junkeaw

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.6

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.