Vynnset, Iron Maiden at World Championship Qualifier 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Emmanuel Onate (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.34
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.86
R5	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.59
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nuttapon Songkhakul

16th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 20:80

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	20%	Loss	✗	0.20	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wipu Junkeaw

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs "Haste" Sompong Leartvimolkasame (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.