Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Thailand Nationals Championship 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Techodom Predapan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.