Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

Verdance, Thorn of the Rose

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

3rd 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wachara Oranriksuphak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
71%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Kano, Dracai of Aether
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.