Kano, Dracai of Aether at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Thailand Nationals Championship 2025
Kano, Dracai of Aether
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-0-0
100%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thiwakorn Kanokwanavong (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 85:15
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 85% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.