Fang, Dracai of Blades at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Thailand Nationals Championship 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Wong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 68:32
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 21:79
Round 6: Win vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Loss vs Seiichi Yasuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.