FaB-Results

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Thailand Nationals Championship 2025

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Seiichi Yasuda
2nd • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 79:21
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 79:21
Jarl Vetreiði
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 45:55
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 79:21
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.