Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

Florian, Rotwood Harbinger

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

2nd 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Natthaphon Kasemphonchotinan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ashila Chuenbanyen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wongsathorn Wongwanichjitt (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Fang, Dracai of Blades
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Prempracha Saensupar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Glenn (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
Kano, Dracai of Aether
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rachata Leryoschaipong (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.