Fai, Rising Rebellion
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wachara Oranriksuphak (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.