Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Thailand Nationals Championship 2025
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tatthep Kasetsin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jakob Kernstock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.