Fai at Showdown: Mexico City 2026

Fai

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Luis Manuel García Luna Perez

12th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.5

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Fernando León Rivera (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Molina (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs MARTIN GOMEZ LOPEZ (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Jorge Tueme (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Manuel Curiel

16th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Barba Macias (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Alejandro Rihani (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Oscar Soto (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Julio Heredia (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

MARTIN GOMEZ LOPEZ

33rd • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Joel Reyna (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 29:71

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Manuel Espinosa Méndez (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jose de Jesus Romero Valdez (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Oscar Rodríguez (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Mendez (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jesus abdias De la paz alvarez

37th • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 29:71

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Javier Moreno Varela (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Perez Estrada (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Tommy Arevalo (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Abril Ruiz (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 29:71

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Natanael Eguren (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Levia) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Levia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.