Aurora

Aurora

1 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kano
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Natanael Eguren (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Fai
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs MARTIN GOMEZ LOPEZ (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Hala
R3
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Lexi
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Alastor Guzman (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Kayo
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Juan Homero Violante (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Levia
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Levia) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.