Bravo, Flattering Showman at Showdown: Mexico City 2026

Bravo, Flattering Showman

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Alessio Bouko

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Angel Huacuja (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Eduardo Castillo Trujillo (Enigma) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Rodolfo García (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Natanael Eguren (Kano) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.14
R2	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Enigma	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Silver Age	Kano	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luis Cisneros

17th • 4-0-2

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Daniel Mendez (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Ander Cepeda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Montoya (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

70:30

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Juan Homero Violante (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Arnoldo Sandoval (Levia) - Expected: 69:31

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Rodolfo García (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.34
R5	Silver Age	Levia	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.44
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tristan Del Pako

10th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Diego Solorzano (Iyslander) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Joel Reyna (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fernando León Rivera (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Tom Ross (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Iyslander	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.76
R5	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Oscar Soto

11th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Luis Canche (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Tommy Arevalo (Kayo) - Expected: 70:30

70:30

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Oscar Rodríguez (Levia) - Expected: 69:31

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Rafael Perez Estrada (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Curiel (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

45:55

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Fernando León Rivera (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R2	Silver Age	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Levia	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.27
R4	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Ander Cepeda

35th • 2-2-2

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Luis Enrique Sandoval Montañez (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Draw vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs OMAR MATA (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Montoya (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tania Paola Rosas Rodríguez (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Pleiades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Luis Enrique Sandoval Montañez

dropped • 1-2-1

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Draw vs Ander Cepeda (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Tania Paola Rosas Rodríguez (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Javier Moreno Varela (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.