Ira, Crimson Haze at Showdown: Mexico City 2026

Ira, Crimson Haze

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez

2nd • 7-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

4.5

Surp

3.4

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jesús Armando Herrera Solis (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Jorge Tueme (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Santiago Mansur (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Santiago Mansur (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R9 SAGE

Round 9: Loss vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (9/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.11
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.44
R5	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Silver Age	Riptide	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.89
R9	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Fernando Avila

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Tania Paola Rosas Rodríguez (Azalea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Roberto Gael Busnelli Cifuentes (Fai) - Expected: 71:29

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

50:50

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Oscar Vargas (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Rodolfo García (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Azalea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.13
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.54
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Oscar Vargas

9th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.1

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jesus abdias De la paz alvarez (Fai) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Joel Covarrubias (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Win vs Luis Canche (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Julio Heredia (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

50:50

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Fernando Avila (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Angel Huacuja

14th • 4-2-0

100%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Loss vs Alessio Bouko (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Mario Gomez (Levia) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Diego Solorzano (Iyslander) - Expected: 55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Jorge Tueme (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mendez (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Win vs Luis Canche (Kayo) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	Silver Age	Levia	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.27
R3	Silver Age	Iyslander	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.44
R4	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Fernando León Rivera

22nd • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Jose Alejandro Zavala Rodriguez (Hala) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

70:30

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Luis Manuel García Luna Perez (Fai) - Expected: 71:29

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Draw vs Carlos Molina (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Arturo Rojas (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Oscar Soto (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Hala	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	Silver Age	Victor Goldmane	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Joel Reyna

25th • 3-2-1

100%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

70:30

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs MARTIN GOMEZ LOPEZ (Fai) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 55:45

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs Alejandro Rihani (Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Draw vs Arturo Rojas (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Ivan Barba Macias (Fang) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Levia) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Fai	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	Silver Age	Dorinthea, Quicksilver Prodigy	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Silver Age	Lexi	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Silver Age	Fang	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Silver Age	Levia	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.