National Championship 2026 - Thailand - Fai, Rising Rebellion (CC) - FaB-Results

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Witthawat Phanthanitlert

31st • 2-4-0

17%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs sasawat sirakosol (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wipu Junkeaw (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nopphrakorn Kerdsamut (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kraithun Maneesinthu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Dash I/O

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kanawut Pakkawirasakul (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.53
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

kantanat poom chukiat

35th • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.8

Diff

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Nuttapon Songkhakul (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Torpong Juntree (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Teerawee Choatchuang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

Puffin, Hightail

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Jaidee (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Santat Angsupan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.23
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.55
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Natchanon kamhanghan

dropped • 2-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.1

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nanthawat Paronisaree (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Teerawee Choatchuang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.58
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Pongdanai Sriphueak

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kritapat Thanuworapat (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cheeparoj Tansukkasem (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Zyggy Starlight

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jakkrapun Hongviengjun (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R4	CC	Zyggy Starlight	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.39

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.