Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
56%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
7.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Win vs Cheeparoj Tansukkasem (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phuntawit (Jojo) Lertphunyavuttikul (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Thanat Chullamandala (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Win vs Nakara Juntavong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thanthawat "Vespa" Chujitngamsuwong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
7.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
2nd • 8-1-0
67%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chanon Puttaree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaturone Chairungsri (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sirapop Fungfuang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Win vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Round 11: Win vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
5th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nanthawat Paronisaree (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Teerawee Choatchuang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Win vs Phitchaya Tungpavitaya (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Chanon Puttaree (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
25th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thanaput Thongyam (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naphattarapong Sirithawat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Natchanon kamhanghan (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Teerawish Kotesiri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Piyawat Nundee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wayu Saengphithak (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Kanokpatch Chansirichok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Dachkone Vasonchuenchochai (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs kritsatorn saengweang (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pongdanai Sriphueak (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Krittawat Sakchuwong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Teeravuth Vachirapaneegul (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sahatsawat Kritsanasub (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.