National Championship 2026 - Thailand - Ira, Scarlet Revenger (CC)

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chakorn Tanawansombat

29th • 4-2-0

83%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

3.9

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tawich Paparsamut (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Piyarat Boonprasert (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kanokpatch Chansirichok (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Piyawat Nundee (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.35
R8	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.82
R9	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.39

Kraithun Maneesinthu

24th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64

95:5

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thanadol Supnitikul (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Santat Angsupan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Louie Poblete (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Teerawee Choatchuang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Zyggy Starlight	95%	Win	✓	0.07	0.03
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.26
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	1.03
R9	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Emmanuel Onate

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ekalux Ua-areemitr (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.