National Championship 2026 - Thailand - Katsu, the Wanderer (CC) - FaB-Results

Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

32nd • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs SUMETHA Udomkosonkit (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Witthawat Phanthanitlert (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Seiichi Yasuda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Phongnat Niamsorn (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Arakni, Huntsman

10:90

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Worrachot Sujiarapat (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nitipoom Soijit

34th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.7

Diff

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Waroth Liengvithayakun (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Dash I/O

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tobias Schmiedeberg (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chantad Tanapisutporn (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jakob Kernstock (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Huntsman

10:90

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Teerawee Choatchuang (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89

Uzuri, Switchblade

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Krittawat Sakchuwong (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.54
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R9	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Prempracha Saensupar

dropped • 2-2-0

50%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pongrat Winaiwatthanawong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

Puffin, Hightail

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Jaidee (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mutthawakul Hoysung (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tanawat Sukkaew (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.43
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Tawich Paparsamut

dropped • 2-2-0

25%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.8

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Chakorn Tanawansombat (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, Marionette

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Narin Leelaporn (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Huntsman

10:90

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs ANnansuo Junkeaw (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 11:89

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nakara Juntavong (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.27
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.