Enigma

Enigma

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

31st 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Iyslander
!!
85:15
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Rafael De Melo (Iyslander) - Expected: 84:16, favorite upset
Bravo, Flattering Showman
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs João Foltran (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
Valda Brightaxe
75:25
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Vinicius Nishimura (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 77:23
Iyslander
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Raul Fernandes (Iyslander) - Expected: 84:16
Kayo
25:75
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ricardo de Campos Dorini (Kayo) - Expected: 23:77
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Laerte Cursino (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Briar
45:55
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Emerson França (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 0-3-1
25%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Briar
45:55
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Maurício Tavares (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Heitor Pooli Barbosa (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Joaquín González Vandam (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 21:79
Tuffnut
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Draw vs Ricardo Ferreira de Oliveira (Tuffnut) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.