National Championship 2026 - South Korea - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hyeonjin Kim

18th • 3-3-0

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wookyung Park (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs TAEHO KWON (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ugo Henson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hojin Choi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs SangHo SHIN (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs HyoungJun You (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.53
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Win	✗	0.53	1.62

Sulbin Park

dropped • 2-2-0

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee Ryang Hoon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Juntaek Lim (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs JISU HAN (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 47:53

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.30
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.58
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-

Kyoungsoo Kim

dropped • 1-3-0

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lee Dong-Hee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Hangjune "Shu" Cho (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Ryang Hoon (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gyumin Shim (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.