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2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

33rd 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Riptide
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Andrei Pirlea (Riptide) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Fai
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Iyslander
!
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Iyslander) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Boltyn
R4
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Sinclair (Boltyn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
Aurora
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Kent (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
34th 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
Valda Brightaxe
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Cayle Mccreath (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Briar
!
40:60
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Lynnette Nattrass (Briar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Blaze, Firemind
!!
80:20
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Piper Allen (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Briar
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Apanui (Briar) - Expected: 39:61
Dromai
!
35:65
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Cameron White (Dromai) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Fai
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jay Haskett (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.