FaB-Results

Valda Brightaxe at Showdown: Auckland 2026

Valda Brightaxe

Valda Brightaxe

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Cayle Mccreath
21st • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Dash
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs William Gibson (Dash) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Blaze, Firemind
20:80
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Horton (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82
Briar
!!
30:70
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Apanui (Briar) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Blaze, Firemind
20:80
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Loss vs Kieran Carnegie (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82
Aurora
R5
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Ben Kent (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Blaze, Firemind
20:80
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Sage Walker (Blaze, Firemind) - Expected: 18:82
Michael Dunlop
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai
R1
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Kerr (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Lexi
R2
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Digl Dixon (Lexi) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Briar
30:70
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Briar) - Expected: 29:71

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.