Victor Goldmane at Calling: Hartford

Victor Goldmane

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Bea Budnik

dropped • 5-2-1

62%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Matthew Chapman (Unknown)

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Douglas Jones (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Mink (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.21
R3	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.72
R8	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jarik Caisse

dropped • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

4.4

Surp

3.2

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brent Brown (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Leon Lu (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Goodkin (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Fitzpatrick (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs William Pistel (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R3	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R8	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Jason Price II

dropped • 4-1-3

38%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

3.4

Diff

25:75

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Stephen Olympia (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs brynn nieboer (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Tom Segrave (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Lakkotrypis (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Diana Green (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Elrod (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs ryan moran (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Draw	✗	0.27	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.51
R6	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R8	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.35

Edouard Veillette

dropped • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

4.3

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Darryl Thompson (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

25:75

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Megan Page (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jordan Barry (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Benjamin Levit (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs David Letourneau (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.47
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.85
R6	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.18
R8	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Marco Jurakovich

dropped • 4-4-0

38%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Douglas Jones (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dustin West (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jeff Thompson (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

25:75

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Matthew VanPatten

dropped • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Peyton Sayasith (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yongji Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Letourneau (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.34
R3	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R5	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Lezberg

dropped • 3-4-1

62%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.9

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs William Pearlman (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Brooke Ritchie (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Marco Jurakovich (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Fisse (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

25:75

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Draw vs Stephen Olympia (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.10
R2	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.21
R3	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.62
R7	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Draw	✗	0.27	-

Noah Beygelman

dropped • 3-5-0

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.7

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

25:75

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jibril Jeewanjee (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

40:60

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Derek Byrne (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Elaine Erickson (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

25:75

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Brooke Ritchie (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

0% (0/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.17
R2	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.47
R3	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.02
R7	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Chris Rowland

dropped • 3-3-1

29%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

40:60

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs KC Glass (Unknown)

40:60

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Williamson (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tony Mapelli (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.59
R6	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.35

Noah Emrick

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Vallone (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

55:45

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ariel Chapman (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kassai	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.68
R6	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Marc Mehlenbacher

dropped • 2-2-1

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Kayo) - Expected: 57:43

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Li Shah (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Draw vs Jason Price II (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Mark Cornett (Olympia) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.87

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.