Calling: Hartford - Rhinar (Sealed)

Rhinar

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sherman Darrenkamp

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

30:70

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs David Mink (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.22
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Randall Sims

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.2

Diff

30:70

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

30:70

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Brooke Ritchie (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.25
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.24
R6	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Jonah Overholt

dropped • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Oechsle (Unknown)

30:70

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Raj Parikh (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Noah Emrick (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cesar Tran (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Robert Cotton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Draw	✗	0.30	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Michael Godsil

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sullivan Koekkoek (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aaron Salitra (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ryan Levy

dropped • 1-4-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Alec Almasian (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Olympia (Olympia) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

30:70

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael McBride (Kassai) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.