Calling: Hartford - Kayo (Sealed)

Kayo

128 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yuanji Li

5th • 8-0-0

88%

Meta

+4.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Elaine Hamontree (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Leigh Pushard (Unknown)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Lezberg (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Arthur Stevens (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.45
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Corey Frascati-Robinson

25th • 8-0-0

100%

Meta

+4.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs The Better Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jacob Shaker

9th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Porter Jones (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Pauly (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Leon Lu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alex Ptak (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Peter Buddensiek

12th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Derek Anderson (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Letourneau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

James Cæruleus Silver

19th • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Manny Beatty (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jared Wyce (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jeff Stamm

dropped • 7-1-0

100%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Pheano Black (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Majin Bae (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mark Morrison

1st • 6-2-0

75%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.7

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jean-François Veillette (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ian Osdale (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexander Vore

3rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mason Taylor (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Louis Philippe Côté (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Alexander Buganski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Bradley Tashman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tariq Patel

5th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tim Seib (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kate Kish (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Logan Walton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Tho Bui (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Naib Mobassir

13th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Fisse (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Dantes Ha (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Rob Cygul (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Pat Eshghy

14th • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Adam Columbia (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tin Duong (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kate Kish (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Noah Emrick (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Noah Biros (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.90
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jodey Burney

17th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ronald Malouin (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alec Almasian (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Mink (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Chris Brummett

21st • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Greg Greiner (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zack Phillips (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Peter Stanish (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Connor Bryant

22nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Connor Talty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bill Early (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Raj Parikh (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Ryan Goldfinger

23rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jake Torres (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs The Better Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Liam Trodden

24th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Sullivan Koekkoek (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David Mink (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Fox (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michael Keating (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Edward Knight (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Lucas Molho

26th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Greg Mitchell (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robert Cotton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Edward Knight (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Dalton

27th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

4.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Ian Osdale (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Flavin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ronald Stanish (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Timothy Dziewit (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Charles Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs William Berger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Evan Bridges

38th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Peter Hong (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Pauly (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Rob Cygul (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Craig Krempels

40th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ashley Yvette Bellevue (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Timothy Wells (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alberto Ruiz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Alexander Tedeschi

44th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Goodridge (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Leon Lu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Langevin (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Edward Knight (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Louis Philippe Côté (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kyle Nunn (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Anthony Cicchinelli

45th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kyle Benevides (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew DiGregorio (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Wells (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Dexter Phan

46th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Cas Mulder (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Trent Lennon (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Goodkin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Raj Parikh (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Jon Smith

49th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shane Gifford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Carson Osborne (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Rich (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joseph Laraiso

52nd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs JP Coleman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joseph Kaiser (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dakota Cook

53rd • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Derrick Corriea (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Godsil (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Devin Bell (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John Zapata (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs William Bradshaw (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Adam Green

54th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jace Velez (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Charles Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Derek Byrne (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Aaron Blum

57th • 6-2-0

100%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Green (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Osdale (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jean-François Veillette (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Trent Lennon (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Pierre-Nicolas Perrin

dropped • 5-2-1

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Draw vs Dantes Ha (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Tim Seib (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Joshua Millar (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Pauly (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs William Pearlman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Mason Taylor (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Alex Espinoza

33rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Lennon Philo (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Timothy Wells (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Cicchinelli (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nicholas Porter

41st • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Birch (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Noah Biros (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Yasunari Sakuma

55th • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Mottram (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Fay (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Alex Broussard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rob Cygul (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Alexander Heger

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Marchetti (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kirklan Doherty (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Noah Biros (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Alexander McPherson

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Graden Hutchinson (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Brooke Ritchie (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Justin Rowland (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Alexander Buganski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Bradley Tashman

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Edouard Veillette (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Harper (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs June Aino (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.15
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Connor Talty

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dustin Soares (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jonah Markham (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Elaine Erickson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Pauly (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

David Letourneau

dropped • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.2

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Alexander Romer (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Nelson (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Elrod (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew VanPatten (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Leon Lu (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Edouard Veillette (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.75
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.20

Dayna Hagewood

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Hunter Finkbeiner (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Adam Columbia (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Logan Walton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Phillip Bradford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Ben Cook (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Julien Bergeron

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Levy (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Schoof (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Mateo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Yongji Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Lucas Birch (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Leon Lu

dropped • 5-3-0

88%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Brandon Bestwina (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ryan Fisse (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs David Letourneau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.45
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Logan Walton

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eli Itzkowitz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Justin Jones (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Reese Toomre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Michel Beaumont

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert Sievert (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jake Torres (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Michel Remillard

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Brown (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs William Berger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Noah Biros

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert Teodorczy (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Heger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Patrick Weiss

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Rathanak Teng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Mateo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Reese Toomre

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tho Bui (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brooke Ritchie (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Shane Gifford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Ptak (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Logan Walton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Noah Clark (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Rob Cygul

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Anastasia Benner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Russell (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.37
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.84
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Rody Burg

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Josh Johnson (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tyson Au (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Bell (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Cody Williams (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.61
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ryan Fox

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Sunny Yang (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Ben Cook (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Christopher D'Agostino (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.85
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tho Bui

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Zibbideo (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Andy truong (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Justin Rowland (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Barrett Goss (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Buganski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Trenton McBride

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

3.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Nick Webb (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Andrew Flynn (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Michael Godsil (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs David Mink (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Tristan Kilper

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs William Pearlman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs John Romah (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cas Mulder (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jared Wyce (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs June Aino (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Derek Byrne (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.49
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.60
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

William Berger

dropped • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs David C Perez (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Michael Fay (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Rath (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

John Zapata

dropped • 4-3-1

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Colby Homan (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Richard Gapinski (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs ryan moran (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Kaiser (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Alexander Buganski

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Hunter Finkbeiner (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Pauly (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Tho Bui (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Alexander McPherson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.36
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Pauly

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chad Chouinard (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Jacob Shaker (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Buganski (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matthew Williamson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Connor Talty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.80
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

David Mink

dropped • 4-4-0

88%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Logan Petersen (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Hurilla (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jodey Burney (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eric Gaudreault

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Mark Almasian (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs The Better Johnson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jean-François Veillette

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Gapinski (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Greg Greiner (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs theofanis neofotistos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Joshua Millar

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Goodkin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Manuel Rosario (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Matt Hefferon (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Justin Rowland (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.72
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Justin Evans

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Elly Bird (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ryan Nelson (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Hazel Hensley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Henri Veillette (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Lucas Birch

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Holinaty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ian Osdale (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Parker Longwell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs William Berger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jake Torres (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.24
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.73
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Mateo

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Adam Fischer (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alex Broussard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Trent Lennon (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tsubasa Ueda (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Julien Bergeron (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Fisse (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.27
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matthew Verderame

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Li Shah (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Arthur Stevens (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Laflin (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs David Elrod (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Frederick Governale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs June Aino (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Win vs Kevin Goodkin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Sebastiano Cavallo

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Travis Watkins (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jeff Thompson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Yongji Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Taylor Crawford

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dustin West (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Matthew Holinaty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Arthur Stevens (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Erickson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.67
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tsubasa Ueda

dropped • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jack Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Derek Chiu (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Sitrick (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Mateo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Frederick Governale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.13
R2	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tony Mapelli

dropped • 3-4-1

88%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matt Hefferon (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Draw vs Jeremy Murdock (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Tom Segrave (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Rowland (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Elaine Hamontree (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.94
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

theofanis neofotistos

dropped • 3-4-1

88%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Blum (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jean-François Veillette (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Bernard Eng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Draw vs Stephen Olympia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Goodkin

dropped • 3-5-0

88%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

4.1

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Millar (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eric Roberts (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Keating (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Verderame (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.60
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R8	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Brian Kaliszak

dropped • 2-5-1

88%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Devin Bell (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Pope (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs ryan moran (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Justin Cardoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tommy Hendricks (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Millar (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Draw vs Eric Roberts (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.40
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-

Bernard Eng

dropped • 2-6-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Seman (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Stephen Shea (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bartlomiej Bartkowiak (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Fitzpatrick (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Andrew Flynn (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs theofanis neofotistos (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Henri Veillette (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R8 Sealed

Round 8: Loss vs Benjamin Levit (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R8	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Parker Longwell

dropped • 5-2-0

100%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michel Beaumont (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Lucas Birch (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jon Smith (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Michael Keating

dropped • 4-2-1

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Michael Beygelman (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Levit (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jonah Markham (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Kevin Goodkin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Liam Trodden (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Charles Simmons

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Green (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Menion Croll (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Connor Talty (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs ry mo (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Rathanak Teng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Eric Wainright

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Roger Bodee (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Michael Clair (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Stanko (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Shane Gifford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs William Pearlman (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jeremiah Gardner

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Keith Milde (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Harper (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs William Pistel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Elizabeth Sprinkle (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Zachary Miller (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Laraiso (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jonathan Andreadakis

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Andrew Vallone (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Clinton Jeffers (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Joshua Rath

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Menion Croll (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Rob Cygul (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs shawn Hill (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs William Berger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jason Wenz (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Patrick Fowley

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Chad McKittrick (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michel Beaumont (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Travis Watkins (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Marc-Antoine Leclerc (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs William Berger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.14
R2	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Alberto Ruiz

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Addison Hudson (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Natalie Hunt (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Hazel Hensley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Craig Krempels (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Celeste Vautour

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Megan Page (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mark Cornett (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Dung (Yung) Le (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Erickson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.31
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Christopher Iaali

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Price (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Casey Knepley (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ronald Stanish (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Justin Cardoza

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Mitchell (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Espinoza (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Kevin Canales

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Allen Pham (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Noah Emrick (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Merrick Kemp (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Adam Schoof (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Chris Weidinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Marc-Antoine Leclerc (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Nicholas Gaudet

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pedro Esaki (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Legesse (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Wenz (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cooper Pemelton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Eric Roberts (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jared Wyce (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Rathanak Teng

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Bartlomiej Bartkowiak (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Hebert (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Adam Fischer (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Adam Schoof (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Tristan Pisani-Blair

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Shawn Sapiel (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eugene C (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Justin Rowland (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Win vs Jonathan Price (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Yongji Yang

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Marmonti (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jack Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Cooper Pemelton (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Julien Bergeron (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.46
R4	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Zachary Miller

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Will B (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Dylan Vanpatten (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Christopher D'Agostino (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ben Cook (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Eric Wainright (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jordan Barry

dropped • 2-4-1

86%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Bowman (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Sammy Linteau (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Zachary Mussen (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Sean Caruthers (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Williamson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Edouard Veillette (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Menion Croll (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Robert Cotton

dropped • 2-4-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Clair (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Ryan Harding (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michael McBride (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Draw vs Nathanael Frautschy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Caleb Zavits

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Catherine Powell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Romer (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Solis (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Sean Caruthers (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Marc-Antoine Leclerc (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Cesar Tran (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.76
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Eli Itzkowitz

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Logan Walton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Shane Gifford (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Cesar Tran (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Lourdes Rivera (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Ronald Malouin (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Donovan Wainright (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.69
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.92
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Phillip Bradford

dropped • 2-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Brian Fowler (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Angel Moret (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs brynn nieboer (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Sean Caruthers (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.61
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Andrew Flynn

dropped • 1-6-0

100%

Meta

-2.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Jonah Markham (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs David Sitrick (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nghia Tran (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Trenton McBride (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Bernard Eng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sean Caruthers (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R7 Sealed

Round 7: Loss vs Ronald Malouin (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.15
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R7	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Alex Broussard

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Michael Godsil (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Nghia Tran (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matthew Mateo (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs victor Jimenez (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Ben Weinfeld

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Santos martinez (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Chris Legg (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Shane Martin (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Dawson Gilbert (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Justin Jones

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Robert Vruwink (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Logan Walton (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Zach Allen (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Trent Lennon (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Win vs Henri Veillette (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.07

Matt Di Marco

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Trevor O'Connor (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Seman (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Mitchell Blowey (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Matthew Holinaty

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Brandon Jones (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Kirklan Doherty (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Thomas Mottram (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Mitchell Blowey

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kelsie Tandubuana (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander McPherson (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Matt Hefferon (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Di Marco (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Forrest List (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kyle Nunn (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.48
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Tyler Brotton

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Amber Zee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tyson Au

dropped • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Majin Bae (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Manuel Rosario (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dantes Ha (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Rody Burg (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Nathanael Hunt (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.36
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

William Pistel

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Everett Rizner (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Jeremiah Gardner (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Jarik Caisse (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Andrew Vallone

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.6

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Noah Emrick (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Downing (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kyle Thiele (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ronald Stanish (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.89
R6	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Catherine Powell

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.8

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs nikola marcoux (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Chris Weidinger (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Stephen Olympia (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Peter Stanish (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Peyton Sayasith (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Chris Weidinger

dropped • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Kevin Hardy (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Tillinghast (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Catherine Powell (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs victor Jimenez (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Dziewit (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Canales (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.18
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Douglas Jones

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Marco Jurakovich (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Eli Itzkowitz (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matt Muus (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Michael Walker (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

William Pearlman

dropped • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Tristan Kilper (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Lezberg (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Jesse Bowman (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Majin Bae (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Eric Wainright (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Ferrara

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Olivia Davenport (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

45:55

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Elliott Rinke (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 Sealed

Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Hamontree (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Aaron Shantz

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Matt Di Marco (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Yongji Yang (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs William Pistel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Adam Columbia

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Hannan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Dayna Hagewood (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Romer (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Levy (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ariel Chapman

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Colby Homan (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert Abril (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Steven Doan (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Michael Zibbideo (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Noah Emrick (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.78
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Benjamin Hebert

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Diana Green (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Rathanak Teng (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs David Dredge (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Clinton Jeffers

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

45:55

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew VanPatten (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Addison Hudson (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brian Fowler (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Hurilla (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.86
R5	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Elliott Rinke

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs John Powell (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Ronald Malouin (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jeff Thompson (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.64
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Forrest List

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Vanpatten (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Kelsie Tandubuana (Unknown)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Derrick Corriea (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Robin Avenoso (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mitchell Blowey (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ian Siczewicz

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Mei Yang (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Edward Knight (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Sherman Darrenkamp (Rhinar) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Amber Zee (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	Sealed	Rhinar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jose Santos martinez

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Unknown)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Andreadakis (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.86
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kate Kish

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Unknown)

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Robert Sievert (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Dylan Hurilla (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Tariq Patel (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.58
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Louis Philippe Côté

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Romer (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs Bryam Silva (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Tedeschi (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.39
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Matthew Legesse

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Pheano Black (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Win vs David C Perez (Unknown)

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Kelsie Tandubuana (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Nathanael Hunt

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.2

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Carson Osborne (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Frederick Governale (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Tyson Au (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.43
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.77
R5	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Philippe Paquin

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Win vs Dustin Soares (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Loss vs Anastasia Benner (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Schoof (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Will B (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Mara Faris (Olympia) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Olympia	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Christopher Lakkotrypis

dropped • 1-3-1

80%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Dustin West (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Lourdes Rivera (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Elaine Hamontree (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Robert Sievert (Unknown)

45:55

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Jason Price II (Victor Goldmane) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Victor Goldmane	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Sammy Linteau

dropped • 1-3-1

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs Andy truong (Unknown)

50:50

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Draw vs Jordan Barry (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Win vs Brandon Green (Unknown)

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Cas Mulder (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Bryam Silva

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 Sealed

Round 1: Loss vs David Sitrick (Betsy) - Expected: 51:49

R2 Sealed

Round 2: Win vs Roger Bodee (Unknown)

50:50

R3 Sealed

Round 3: Loss vs Louis Philippe Côté (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R4 Sealed

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Mundo (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R5 Sealed

Round 5: Loss vs Donovan Wainright (Kassai) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Sealed	Betsy	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	Sealed	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Sealed	Kayo	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	Sealed	Kassai	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.