Bravo, Flattering Showman at Showdown: Brisbane 2026
Bravo, Flattering Showman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Roger Dorko (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs James Drummond (Fai) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
85:15
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Casey Wilson (Dromai) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Boorman (Valda Brightaxe) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oldhim | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Crimson Haze | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda Brightaxe | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.