Bravo, Flattering Showman

Bravo, Flattering Showman

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
Oldhim
50:50
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Daylen Frehlick (Oldhim) - Expected: 52:48
Briar
55:45
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Shane Martin (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Briar
55:45
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Ceballos (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Dash
90:10
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Vince Hung (Dash) - Expected: 90:10
Fai
60:40
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Win vs Davis Owen (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
Kayo
50:50
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Kayo) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Briar
55:45
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Fernando Valenzuela (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Dromai
85:15
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Negrillo (Dromai) - Expected: 87:13
Fai
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Xavier Oli (Fai) - Expected: 60:40
Iyslander
!
40:60
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs John Zapata (Iyslander) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Briar
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs John Kim (Briar) - Expected: 57:43
Kano
30:70
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Turner (Kano) - Expected: 28:72

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.