Battle Hardened: Seattle 2025 - Vynnset (SAGE)

Vynnset

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Daniel Winckler

46th • 4-4-0

50%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.9

Diff

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs David Sarraf (Lyath Goldmane) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Win vs Aiden Shigley (Oldhim) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Tyson Au (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

45:55

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Loss vs Arlo Johnson (Briar) - Expected: 44:56

30:70

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Donald Stevenson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

60:40

R7 SAGE

Round 7: Win vs Will Stubbs (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R8 SAGE

Round 8: Win vs shawn rothwell (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Lyath Goldmane	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Silver Age	Oldhim	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R3	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Briar	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R7	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.67
R8	Silver Age	Ira, Crimson Haze	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

james Hohn

dropped • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.6

Diff

30:70

R1 SAGE

Round 1: Win vs Donald Stevenson (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R2 SAGE

Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

30:70

R3 SAGE

Round 3: Win vs carolina alvarado (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R4 SAGE

Round 4: Loss vs Amanda Sullender (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 30:70

70:30

R5 SAGE

Round 5: Win vs Taylor Morrow (Iyslander) - Expected: 69:31

R6 SAGE

Round 6: Loss vs Raj Giri (Chane) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.29
R2	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.86
R4	Silver Age	Bravo, Flattering Showman	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	Silver Age	Iyslander	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.45
R6	Silver Age	Chane	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Vynnset

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Legend

Performance Metrics