Enigma

Enigma

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

40th 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
Ira, Crimson Haze
!!
20:80
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Rawlings (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Chane
!
65:35
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Lorenz (Chane) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Azalea
60:40
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Win vs Sean Duncan (Azalea) - Expected: 62:38
Chane
65:35
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Chane) - Expected: 64:36
Lexi
55:45
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Eli Cook (Lexi) - Expected: 53:47
Bravo, Flattering Showman
55:45
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Bravo, Flattering Showman) - Expected: 56:44
Kayo, Berserker Runt
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Gannon (Kayo, Berserker Runt) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Briar
45:55
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Morrison (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
61st 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
Azalea
!
60:40
R1 SAGE
Round 1: Loss vs Raul Quiroga (Azalea) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Azalea
!
60:40
R2 SAGE
Round 2: Loss vs Brittany Isaacson (Azalea) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Briar
45:55
R3 SAGE
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Judd (Briar) - Expected: 43:57
Azalea
60:40
R4 SAGE
Round 4: Win vs Francis Shigley (Azalea) - Expected: 62:38
Chane
!
65:35
R5 SAGE
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Chane) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Pleiades
R6
R6 SAGE
Round 6: Loss vs Levi Kujawa-Seda (Pleiades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R7
R7 SAGE
Round 7: Win vs None ()
Ira, Crimson Haze
20:80
R8 SAGE
Round 8: Loss vs Will Stubbs (Ira, Crimson Haze) - Expected: 22:78

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.