FaB-Results

Dorinthea Ironsong at National Championship 2025 - Canada

Dorinthea Ironsong

Dorinthea Ironsong

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Sacha Fonseca
59th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Devon Drury (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 57:43
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Simon Cheng (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Aliasgar Dedanwala
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Jones (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Prism, Awakener of Sol
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Roehl (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
!!
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.