World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Taiwan (06/22) - Verdance (Blitz)

Verdance

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Shao Qi Zeng

3rd • 5-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs 健峰簡 (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs Jing Hao Fang (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs HanYang Chang (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

70:30

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Redc Chen (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.23
R5	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.35
R7	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Redc Chen

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

Deck

70:30

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs Chang Huan Jui (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Jing Hao Fang (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Chi Jung Lu (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

70:30

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Loss vs Shao Qi Zeng (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.49
R4	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.40
R7	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Tsung-Han Han

25th • 1-3-2

100%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.2

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Draw vs 彥霖陳 (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs 王上熏 (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs fang yu Lin (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs CHEN HAN WEI (Florian) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs HanYang Chang (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Florian	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Fai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

fang yu Lin

26th • 1-3-2

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Draw vs Tsung-Han Han (Verdance) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Draw vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs HAN LONG LIU (Cindra) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.