Arakni, Solitary Confinement at World Championship

Arakni, Solitary Confinement

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Xincheng Hou

2nd • 7-2-0

89%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs fang yu Lin (Verdance) - Expected: 55:45

85:15

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra) - Expected: 83:17

85:15

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Jing Hao Fang (Cindra) - Expected: 83:17

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

85:15

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Win vs Chi Jung Lu (Cindra) - Expected: 83:17

30:70

R9 Blitz

Round 9: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

89% (8/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.22
R3	Blitz	Verdance	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R4	Blitz	Cindra	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.12
R5	Blitz	Cindra	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.15
R6	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R7	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.78
R8	Blitz	Cindra	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.23
R9	Blitz	Vynnset	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Lin Raccoon

18th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

Deck

30:70

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Lee Ming-Han (Dash, Database) - Expected: 30:70

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs 王上熏 (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Po-Chuan Lin (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs HanYang Chang (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs Huang Hsiang En (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dash, Database	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Huang Hsiang En

20th • 2-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.3

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs CHAI NELSON (Dorinthea) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

70:30

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo) - Expected: 71:29

55:45

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Loss vs Redc Chen (Verdance) - Expected: 55:45

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs KeDuo Yang (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Lin Raccoon (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dorinthea	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	Blitz	Kayo	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.17
R3	Blitz	Verdance	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Prism	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.