World Championship Qualifier 2025 - Taiwan (06/22) - Cindra (Blitz)

Cindra

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Chi Jung Lu

3rd • 6-2-0

88%

Meta

+2.3

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs HanYang Chang (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Joey Jiik (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Chen Yi-Lin (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Win vs Teoh Juwern (Fai) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Win vs Redc Chen (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs Manson Hsiau (Vynnset) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R7 Blitz

Round 7: Win vs Yu fan Liao (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R8 Blitz

Round 8: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

Meta Fit

88% (7/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	Blitz	Fai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	Blitz	Vynnset	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-

Jing Hao Fang

13th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Win vs HSU WEI-CHUNG (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs Shao Qi Zeng (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs KeDuo Yang (Prism) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Redc Chen (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Loss vs 王上熏 (Data Doll MKII) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	Blitz	Prism	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R6	Blitz	Data Doll MKII	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

HAN LONG LIU

24th • 2-4-0

83%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.5

Diff

Deck

40:60

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Ma Kang shuo (Kayo) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs WeiHao Huang (Gravy Bones) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Unknown)

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs 健峰簡 (Aurora) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 Blitz

Round 6: Win vs fang yu Lin (Verdance) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Kayo	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	Blitz	Gravy Bones	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	Blitz	Aurora	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	Blitz	Verdance	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

CYK Lionel

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

Deck

R1 Blitz

Round 1: Loss vs Yu fan Liao (Dromai) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

50:50

R2 Blitz

Round 2: Win vs HAN LONG LIU (Cindra) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 Blitz

Round 3: Win vs Lee Ming-Han (Dash, Database) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

15:85

R4 Blitz

Round 4: Loss vs Xincheng Hou (Arakni, Solitary Confinement) - Expected: 17:83

R5 Blitz

Round 5: Loss vs 陸宗彥 (Unknown)

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	Blitz	Dromai	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	Blitz	Cindra	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	Blitz	Dash, Database	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	Blitz	Arakni, Solitary Confinement	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R5	Blitz	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.